The Importance of Being Local

I’m a big fan of Huawei‘s website.  Like any good company they publish information intended for their clients, mobile operators.  Reading their publications from the perspective of a mobile operator makes perfect sense but reading it as a consumer has quite a different flavour.

I first noticed this last year when I mused about the possibility of a one-cent SMS.  Huawei was the only place that I was able to find any documentation about the real cost of SMS.  They acknowledge that:

SMS margins estimates vary, but typically maximum of up to 80-90% of SMS messaging revenues being profit are often quoted

base station antenna, NV

This is the sort of information that is just good news being shared in the mobile industry but for the consumer, it is pretty disturbing.

In a happy turn of events, Bharti-Airtel through their recent acquisition of Zain Africa have made the dream of a 1 cent SMS come true by slashing mobile voice and SMS costs to 25% of the previous market rates.  Safaricom briefly blustered about the prices being “unsustainable” but shortly followed suit.  It will be interesting to see what the ripple effects of this “India comes to Africa” strategy will have on the continent.  Zain are in 15 African markets.  That should shake things up.  A pity they aren’t in South Africa.

These days, when I hear an African telco claim as Safaricom did that Zain’s pricing was “unsustainable” or as the mobile operators in South Africa did that a drop in interconnection fees was “unsustainable”, I can’t help but wonder exactly what it is that they really mean.  In the words of Inigo Montoya, I do not think that word means what you think it means.

Which brings me to the title of this post, The Importance of Being Local.  Another kind of data that is very hard to get hold of is the percentage of phone calls that are local i.e. where people are not far from each other.  In the case of mobile, that would be calls that happen on the same cell tower.  This sort of information is jealously guarded by mobile operators as sensitive corporate information.  Huawei to the rescue again:

In general, an average of 30% of all the calls processed by a base station controller (BSC) is local calls. Billing analysis of China Mobile shows that the number of local calls amounts to about 50% in some areas. The number is even higher in Latin American and in some African countries. For example, billing analysis of an operator in Colombia shows that BSC local calls accounts for about 60% of all calls made.

This information is particularly interesting to me as the Village Telco is at least partly based on the premise that even just offering local calls would deliver significant value to people.  We’ve got localised reports that provide evidence that this is true but it is great to see that validated by a more sweeping assertion from Huawei.  For me this means that there is a strong value proposition for the Village Telco and other technologies such as OpenBTS which offer the possibility of locally-owned infrastructure.

If you clicked on the link to read the Huawei article, you may have noticed the title “Exploring the Gold Mine of GSM”… like I said, not really consumer focused..

Kenyan Techies: Secondary School Survey

[Update: I've decided to keep the survey running for a little longer to get the late comers. If enough fill it out, I'll republish the results.]

Out of curiosity I put out a survey to the Kenyan tech community 2 days ago. I’ve always wondered which schools in Kenya put out the most people who move into positions within tech companies, or start their own. I now have 200 entries, which is a decent enough size sample, though I know if we did a true canvasing of the entire community that the results would be slightly different.

[2010 Kenya Techies School Survey]

Here are the results

The top schools
Kenyan technologists - schools attended

Starehe Boys’ (20) leads by a large margin, followed by the other big private schools; Strathmore (9), Lenana (8), Nairobi School (8), Alliance (7) and St. Mary’s (6). It’s clear that some schools choose quality over quantity, such as my alma mater Rift Valley Academy (2)… :)

There are a plenty of examples, such as Gitwe (1), which had only one graduate that come from all over the country. Clearly, many techies here in Kenya had to fight their way up from a challenging environment.

Year Graduated
I started this off in 1980 and went to 2009. There’s an interesting curve happening within the community on when people cleared school. The highest is the year 2000 (25). I wonder if there was something that happened in the school systems at this time to make the number go up, or if there is some other reason for that bump in 2000-2002.

Kenyan Technologists - year finished secondary school

Companies you work for
I was amazed at the number and spread of technologists across the tech companies in Kenya. Here is just a small sampling of 127 different companies that were listed of who people work for:

Access Kenya
AFRICOM
Cellulant
Craft Silicon
Dotsavvy
Google
IBM
Kencall
Mobile Planet
Mocality
Nokia
Safaricom
The Standard
UN (different groups)
Virtual City
Wananchi Group

IAD on A-i-d

This post is by Claudia Williamson, a post-doctoral fellow at DRI.

In The Samaritan’s Dilemma: The Political Economy of Development Aid, Elinor Ostrom and other members of the Workshop in Political Theory and Policy Analysis at Indiana University apply Ostrom’s Nobel Prize-winning Institutional Analysis and Development (IAD) theoretical framework to development aid, specifically examining Sweden’s development agency, SIDA.

The IAD framework begins by analyzing the local context governing individual decision-making and scales up this analysis to include all types of rules that provide various incentive structures. This model presents the process of development as a series of collective action problems, analyzing the incentives for the provision of public goods and managing common pool resources.

Applying IAD to aid means that donors must first consider why there are development failures to begin with before they can accurately access whether intervention is an appropriate solution. This means investigating the underlying institutional arrangements structuring the incentives that produce collective action failures. If donors do not address these fundamental institutional failures, then any aid program is unlikely to be sustainable. Most donors pay lip service to these insights, but Ostrom and her colleagues find that their concern for the problems they entail is more rhetoric than reality.

The IAD framework views aid as a nested game, not a chain of delivery, between a variety of actors across different countries – including donor and recipient governments, contractors, civil society, NGOs, etc. These interrelationships create the incentive structure that will ultimately determine the likelihood of success from foreign intervention; therefore, the sustainability of a project and the achievement of long run development goals depends on the complex structure of incentives faced by all actors involved.

Given how complicated of a task this can become – e.g., dealing with the presence of multiple donors, special interest groups, the addition of new rules introduced by donors, and the possibility of corruption- it’s no wonder that donors may not be able to achieve their stated ends. In fact, donors often face perverse incentives that hinder sustainability and project success.

The title ‘The Samaritan’s Dilemma’ stems from an article by James Buchanan (more on which here), another Nobel Laureate. Buchanan explains how donors’ willingness to be charitable incentivizes recipients to alter their behavior in counterproductive ways. Recipients may, for example, reduce the amount of resources they themselves devote to the problem at hand. The original problem worsens and donors feel even more compelled to continue support, establishing a cycle of interventionism and reducing the chances of sustainability.

Ostrom’s approach to understanding development is to shift our focus towards the underlying incentives surrounding collection action problems. The traditional solution to such problems is central planning and government regulation, including the use of foreign aid. Ostrom argues, however, that expanding centralized bureaucracies is often counterproductive and may create additional unintended consequences. Instead, we should focus on individuals at the local level who are better equipped to develop solutions that are responsive to the complex local conditions generating these problems in the first place.

Factors Influencing Citizen Adoption of SMS-Based e-Government Services

Design of a Randomized Trial to Evaluate the Influence of Mobile Phone Reminders on Adherence to First Line ARV in South India

Mobile Payments Go Viral: M‐PESA in Kenya

Be Careful What You Export

Our distant ancestors had a biological constitution awfully similar to our own, and, like us, only 24 hours in a day. Arguably the main reason we have so much better lives than them is that we have better ways of doing things (broadly conceived). So it makes a great deal of sense that much of the work in development planning and foreign aid consists in exporting ways of doing things. Technology and scientific know-how are the most easily obvious examples, but we also export methods of organization and governance.

People in poorer nations don’t have the nice things we do, so it must be because their ways of doing things aren’t as effective as our own. If we could just convince them to do things the way we do them then everyone would be rich, and Bill wouldn’t get any reception in Ghana either. So wealthy nations have spent a lot of time trying to export their newest and best makes and models of laws, regulations, and government agencies to the rest of the world.

One problem with this approach–one among many–is that it assumes that our every institutional and organizational innovation is beneficial. We call this “Whig history.” And while it’s hard to argue that wealthy nations don’t have an overall mix of institutions better adapted to producing wealth, it’s quite another to assume that they’re superior (at wealth production) to poor nations’ institutions on every margin. It could be that the evolution of our ways of doing things has taken a wrong turn in one or more spheres of activity.

Two recent articles raise the concern of Whig history, in ways relevant to ongoing debates in development. Eustace Davis writes at African Liberty that:

Governments world-wide are struggling to solve the problem of deficiencies in their schooling systems.  Politicians, teachers, educationists, administrators, employers, parents, politicians, policy analysts and students have differing ideas on how the problem should be solved.  All agree that something is wrong.  All have ideas on the kind of tinkering that is needed to fix the problem. The framework within which schooling functions is seldom or ever questioned; a framework that is little changed since schooling was nationalised in England in the late 19th and in the US in the early 20th centuries…

Schooling systems everywhere have become frozen in time. Schools are configured much as they were, and function in the same way they did, a century ago. A 1910 child would feel very much at home in a ‘modern’ school environment, whereas everything else in the world we live in has changed dramatically over the past 100 years.

Davis is concerned that the whole world copied England’s public educational institutions after they changed for the worse (see also James Tooley’s work on this topic).

And this article reports on the work of historian Eckard Höffner on 19th century Germany’s copyright law, or lack thereof. Höffner argues that the absence of copyright law facilitated the spread of knowledge that was critical to Germany’s industrialization and flowering scientific community. There is certainly no shortage of debate about the role of intellectual property in international development, but most of it assumes that IP law is wealth-enhancing in wealthy nations. Are we sure? How sure should we be before we export our IP laws?

Are these convincing examples of Whig history gone wild? Are there others?

Inviting all children to ‘Doodle’ their dreams for India


At Google we love to play! We keep redesigning our corporate logo to celebrate scientific and artistic achievements, festivals and historic events. In this spirit, we are happy to announce the launch of our second Doodle 4 Google competition in India to celebrate the Children’s Day on 14
November , 2010.

We are inviting all children in India to participate in this exciting 'doodling' competition and get a chance to feature their ‘doodle’ on 14 November on www.google.co.in. The competition is open for all children from 5 to 16 years across India. This year, our chosen theme is ‘My dream for India’ encouraging young doodlers to imagine what India would be like in two decades from now and capture those images in color and paper.

In addition to the winner's doodle appearing on Google.co.in on November 14, 2010, the star Doodler will receive a technology starter package including a laptop, a year’s Internet connection and a Rs 2,00,000 technology grant for the school that he or she will represent.

Just like last year, the participants will be clubbed in three different categories- Class 1 to 3 , Class 4 to 6 and Class 7 to 10. JJ School of Arts will select the top 200 entries from each category which will be reviewed by a panel of judges. The judges will then shortlist 15 doodles from each category, bringing it down to a total of 45 final Doodles.

All the final entries will be exhibited for public voting and based on the number of votes, one winner from each category will be selected. Each of these winners will receive a laptop. Dennis Hwang, the original Google Doodler, will then choose the final winning Doodle from the total 45 finalists.


Participating in the competition is simple:

  • Children studying in Class 1 to 10 can participate in the competition. These will be divided into three categories- Class 1 to 3 ; Class 4 to 6 and ; Class 7 to 10.
  • All participants must register on the website (www.google.co.in/doodle4google). The submission may be either individually or through the school. The school route is valid only if the school is organizing to collect and submit the doodles on behalf of their students.
  • Last date for submissions is 25 September, 2010
  • JJ School of Arts will select the top 600 Doodles which will enter the Semi- Final round.
  • After a series of elimination by celebrity panel of judges, 45 best Doodles will be displayed on the gallery (www.google.co.in/doodle4google). These entries will be open for public voting allowing users to vote for their favorite Doodle in each category.
  • This year we will have 4 winners in total. 3 Winners from each category selected from the basis of vote and the final winner will be selected by Dennis Hwang, the original Doodler for Google.
  • Winning Doodle will be uploaded on the Google.co.in homepage on 14 November, Children’s Day and all the winners will get a Technology Starter Package.

So gather those art supplies. All it takes to enter is a drawing on paper using your favorite medium (crayons, markers, colored pencils, whatever) –

For information about the contest and to download/print material for use, log onto:www.google.co.in/doodle4google


Posted by Nikhil Rungta, Country Marketing Manager, Google India


Community-Level Economic Effects of M-PESA in Kenya: Initial Findings

Statement from CARE on Bruckner FOIA Request

AidWatch received the following statement from CARE regarding Till Bruckner’s AidWatch post on USAID and NGO transparency:

Statement from CARE (Aug. 30, 2010):

Contrary to what Till Bruckner suggested in a recent blog, CARE did not withhold information in response to his FOIA request to USAID regarding certain projects in the Republic of Georgia. Our records indicate that CARE never received the request from USAID to review CARE’s budget information before USAID provided it to Mr. Bruckner. USAID’s email request to CARE went to two inoperative emails; one was for a former employee and one went to a current employee, but the email address was incorrect.  As a result, the CARE document that USAID sent to Mr. Bruckner was redacted without CARE’s knowledge.

We have since reviewed the document and will ask USAID to produce it in full without any redactions, including our indirect cost rate, which was the primary information that had been withheld.